93% Have Concerns About Self-Driving Cars According to New Forbes Legal Survey (2024)

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Vehicles equipped with auto-drive are on the roads today in increasing numbers. While some believe autonomous vehicles will reduce the risk of an auto accident, many others have concerns.

To better understand attitudes toward self-driving cars, Forbes Advisor commissioned a survey of 2,000 Americans conducted by OnePoll from January 9 to January 11, 2024. This survey sheds light on attitudes towards self-driving vehicles and offers insight into consumer interest in bringing this evolving technology into their own garages.

Why You Can Trust Forbes Advisor

Key Takeaways

  • Self-driving vehicles are involved in double the number of accidents per mile driven as traditional vehicles
  • 93% of Americans have concerns about some aspect of self-driving cars, with safety and technology malfunctions topping the list
  • 81% of Americans have never been in a self-driving vehicle
  • More than half (51%) of consumers are somewhat or very unlikely to own or use a self-driving vehicle in the next five years
  • 61% of Americans wouldn’t trust a self-driving car with their loved ones or children
  • Only 29% of consumers would be willing to pay a premium for a self-driving vehicle
  • 30% of Americans do feel excited about self-driving vehicles in the future
  • 62% of consumers have lost confidence in Tesla due to recent safety and technology recalls

Self-Driving Cars Are More Prone to Accidents

Proponents of self-driving cars argue these vehicles will prevent auto accidents by eliminating human error as a collision cause.

In fact, the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) reports that self-driving vehicles are more than twice as likely as traditional vehicles to become involved in auto accidents. According to NHTSA data:

  • There are 9.1 crashes in driverless vehicles per million vehicle miles driven
  • There are 4.2 crashes in conventional vehicles per million miles driven

High accident rates have rightly contributed to consumer concerns—and recent recalls of Tesla vehicles have only served to heighten fears.

Tesla—often considered a leader in autonomous driving with nearly two million cars across the U.S.—recently recalled nearly all of its autonomous vehicles.

Tesla’s recall comes after an NHTSA probe revealed nearly 1,000 accidents occurred when autopilot was engaged. It has prompted significant consumer concerns, with 62% of survey respondents indicating they are not confident in Tesla’s technology following the recalls.

Americans Do Not Trust Self-Driving Cars

Consumer concern extends beyond Tesla, with most people expressing reservations about the safety of all autonomous vehicles.

Just 12% of consumers are very trusting of this technology, while close to half of all Americans (46%) are either very or somewhat untrusting.

These concerns extend to virtually all aspects of this emerging technology and, as the data below shows, have led to largely negative perceptions of the self-driving vehicle industry.

93% Have Concerns About Self-Driving Cars

Safety is the number one consumer fear when it comes to vehicles that drive themselves, with 36% of Americans indicating they do not trust the technology to keep motorists and pedestrians safe on the road.

Technology malfunctions come in a close second, with just over a quarter of consumers indicating they are most worried that autopilot technology will malfunction on the roads.

Reliability, cost, hacking, vehicle lifespan and privacy are also among the worries Americans share, although these issues are not nearly as pressing as fears about how autonomous vehicles will impact road safety.

69% Feel Negatively Towards Self-Driving Cars

The majority of consumers have negative feelings about how autonomous vehicles will change America's roadways.

Skepticism and concern are the two leading emotions Americans feel surrounding self-driving cars, with nearly half (45%) of all consumers expressing one of these emotions. By contrast, just 16% of consumers are excited and just 8% have an overall positive outlook about these vehicles.

The Future of Self-Driving Cars

In light of negative consumer sentiment, it’s not a surprise experts predict Americans will be slow to adopt this evolving technology.

McKinsey & Co, a worldwide consulting and management company, anticipates that by 2030, just 12% of new passenger vehicles will be sold with advanced auto-drive technologies installed. While this number will increase rapidly to 37% of new passenger vehicles by 2035—according to McKinsey’s projections—self-driving cars will still make up a relatively small percentage of all passenger vehicles sold.

30% of survey respondents indicated they saw no potential exciting applications for autonomous cars. Among consumers who do see positives, however, most believe the biggest benefits will be enhanced mobility for the elderly and people with disabilities, as well as increased efficiency in transportation logistics.

Here’s what Americans are excited about when it comes to potential future applications for self-driving technology:

  • 20% cited enhanced mobility for the elderly and people with disabilities
  • 13% believe the vehicles will bring about increased efficiency in transportation logistics
  • 10% hope for a reduction in traffic congestion
  • 18% cited the ability to multitask while driving
  • 8% anticipate a reduced cost of labor for ride-sharing or taxi services
  • 30% don’t believe there are any exciting potential applications
  • 1% believe there are other potential exciting future changes in store

More Than Half of Americans Do Not Plan on Owning a Self-Driving Car

Projections of slow-growth of self-driving vehicles are supported by consumer sentiment. In fact, survey data shows self-driving cars are likely to remain a niche product with 51% of consumers indicating they are very or somewhat unlikely to own or use a self-driving vehicle in the coming five years.

By contrast, just 14% believe they are very likely to own a vehicle with self-driving capabilities.

29% Are Willing to Pay a Premium for Cars with Self-Driving Capabilities

Development of advanced self-driving technology comes at an added cost, with McKinsey estimating the price of additional hardware and software licensing costs for complex autodrive systems at $5,000 or more.

The high sticker price is likely to slow adoption of these vehicles, especially with just 13% of consumers describing themselves as very willing to pay a premium for self-driving vehicles and 16% somewhat willing compared with 52% who are either very or somewhat unwilling to incur premium charges for autonomous driving capabilities.

Conclusion

Forbes research shows consumers have concerns over the safety and reliability of self-driving cars. These concerns, coupled with an unwillingness to pay higher prices, are a major reason why growth in the self-driving vehicle market is likely to be slow in the upcoming five years. A widespread shift in public perception will be important if these vehicles are to become a dominant force in the U.S. auto market in the near future.

Our Methodology

This online survey of 2,000 general population Americans was commissioned by Forbes Advisor and conducted by market research company OnePoll, in accordance with the Market Research Society’s code of conduct. Data was collected from Jan 9 to Jan 11, 2024. The margin of error is +/- 2.2 points with 95% confidence. This survey was overseen by the OnePoll research team, which is a member of the MRS and has corporate membership with the American Association for Public Opinion Research (AAPOR).

Insights, advice, suggestions, feedback and comments from experts

Introduction

As an expert and enthusiast, I have access to a vast amount of information on various topics, including self-driving cars. I can provide insights and answer questions based on the information available to me. In this case, I will analyze the concepts mentioned in this article and provide relevant information.

Self-Driving Cars and Accidents

According to the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA), self-driving vehicles are more than twice as likely as traditional vehicles to be involved in auto accidents. The NHTSA reports that there are 9.1 crashes in driverless vehicles per million vehicle miles driven, compared to 4.2 crashes in conventional vehicles per million miles driven [[1]].

The higher accident rates of self-driving cars have contributed to consumer concerns. For example, Tesla, a company often considered a leader in autonomous driving, recently recalled nearly all of its autonomous vehicles after an NHTSA probe revealed nearly 1,000 accidents occurred when autopilot was engaged. This has led to significant consumer concerns, with 62% of survey respondents indicating they are not confident in Tesla's technology following the recalls [[1]].

Consumer Trust in Self-Driving Cars

The article highlights that consumer trust in self-driving cars is low. Only 12% of consumers are very trusting of this technology, while close to half of all Americans (46%) are either very or somewhat untrusting. Safety is the number one consumer fear when it comes to self-driving cars, with 36% of Americans indicating they do not trust the technology to keep motorists and pedestrians safe on the road. Technology malfunctions are also a concern, with just over a quarter of consumers worried that autopilot technology will malfunction on the roads [[1]].

Future of Self-Driving Cars

Experts predict that the adoption of self-driving cars will be slow due to negative consumer sentiment. McKinsey & Co, a worldwide consulting and management company, anticipates that by 2030, only 12% of new passenger vehicles will be sold with advanced auto-drive technologies installed. However, this number is expected to increase rapidly to 37% of new passenger vehicles by 2035. Despite this projected growth, self-driving cars will still make up a relatively small percentage of all passenger vehicles sold [[1]].

Consumer Sentiment and Ownership

The survey data mentioned in the article indicates that more than half (51%) of consumers are very or somewhat unlikely to own or use a self-driving vehicle in the next five years. Only 14% believe they are very likely to own a vehicle with self-driving capabilities. Additionally, the high cost of self-driving technology is likely to slow adoption, with just 13% of consumers describing themselves as very willing to pay a premium for self-driving vehicles [[1]].

Conclusion

Based on the Forbes research mentioned in the article, it is clear that consumers have concerns over the safety and reliability of self-driving cars. These concerns, coupled with an unwillingness to pay higher prices, are expected to contribute to slow growth in the self-driving vehicle market in the upcoming five years. A widespread shift in public perception will be important if these vehicles are to become a dominant force in the U.S. auto market in the near future [[1]].

I hope this information provides a comprehensive overview of the concepts discussed in the article. If you have any further questions, feel free to ask!

93% Have Concerns About Self-Driving Cars According to New Forbes Legal Survey (2024)

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